Thursday, January 05, 2006

They're Off!

You have to feel sorry for Charlie. And in the circs he did a good job in front of the cameras.

But why on earth is he running? Not only has been caught telling a whole load of porkies, but it now turns out half his shadow cabinet have signed a letter of no-confidence. Could be humiliating.

According to Daniel, Adam Boulton makes Si Hughes the favourite, but the bookies still make it Ming as evens.

The next 24 hours should be fascinating.

Picture: piecrust design


Anonymous Daniel Vince-Archer said...

Simon Hughes has said on C4 News that he will make a decision based on consultation with colleagues. He also pointed out that as party president, he is in charge of the leadership selection process. Interesting.

7:14 PM  
Anonymous Daniel Vince-Archer said...

According to Sky, Campbell isn't going to stand. According to Smithson at Political Betting, Campbell is second favourite at William Hill for his own job, behind Campbell (although surely that will change after Campbell's announcement). The best betting prices for next leader have John Hemming as joint third favourite (with Oaten) behind Campbell and Hughes.

7:21 PM  
Blogger Serf said...

Now the fun really starts. If they have a debate, like we did over what the party stands for, it could be a great show.

9:52 AM  
Blogger James Hellyer said...

As the man responsible for running the contest, wouldn't Simon Hughes suffer from a slight conflict of interests if he was also a candidate?

Ideal Lib Dem leader, that man.

10:21 AM  
Anonymous Daniel Vince-Archer said...

I've always thought Hughes to be a shifty character, and this belief has been firmly cemented by his antics since 6pm yesterday. He's definitely the one to watch at this point and I stand by my opinion that he's the one holding most of the cards at this point.

12:00 PM  
Blogger James Hellyer said...

He's the ideal candidate for the sandal wearers. From the Conservative point of view he's also a good bet, because he'll make the Liberals tack to the left.

By contrast Ming is a threat. His gravitas contrasts well with Cameron's vacuity, and his views are sound enough to make him appeal to a lot of potential Conservatives (he was twice asked to defect in the 90s, and was even promised a place in the Major cabinet if he jumped ship).

1:02 PM  
Anonymous Daniel Vince-Archer said...

Cable has said he won't stand in any leadership contest, which makes one wonder what motivation lies behind his role as the ringleader in all this. Perhaps he's looking to act as kingmaker, and somebody else is pulling the strings behind the scenes? BBCi is touting Laws as a 'stop Hughes' candidate (the role I thought would go to Cable).

Campbell and Oaten have hamstrung themselves for the time being, whereas Hughes's shiftiness has allowed him to get a headstart. Presumably, Hughes (as the man in charge of the leadership selection process) will have to have a meeting with Kennedy at some point to discuss the matter - that could be the decisive moment for both men.

1:32 PM  

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